Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No98%
Yes2%

Price checked at

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24h volume$121.9
7d volume$3.7K
30d volume$28.1K
Liquidity$11.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp, while PredictFun does not. Both use the Microsoft/PlayStation stores as the primary source and allow credible reporting as a consensus source.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 29, 09:47 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    466 holders · 45 comments · read Sep 28, 02:37 PM UTC

Venue activity

Holders466
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments42

Best bid 2% · best ask 2%

Top holders

  • HAOI873414985443906356577201699752809618783157597263591294489478235798054269416
  • 0x0f3433d8b7596000bf1046aa822308d93cf6768481606696652149593451341292059574916406418494490560220323273518674327353487066
  • AmphibiousCaldwellPope873414985443906356577201699752809618783157597263591294489478235798054269416
  • HotDogs873414985443906356577201699752809618783157597263591294489478235798054269416
  • TBill1873414985443906356577201699752809618783157597263591294489478235798054269416

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL98%$29.82 days ago
  • BUY99%$2.92 days ago
  • BUY98%$624.72 days ago
  • SELL98%$93 days ago
  • BUY98%$39.63 days ago
  • SELL98%$201.44 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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42 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • m.herrera · 16 days ago

    source?

  • RekMyAds · 29 days ago

    they already announced base game will be 80

  • Tomdadd · last month

    Was it promised to you 3000 years ago?

  • roslovs01 · last month

    easy 100+

  • SammR · 3 months ago

    This is such a funny comment for several reasons

  • SIMOMEGA · 3 months ago

    Ultimate Edition literally costs 99,99 lmao

  • ArieLethal · 3 months ago

    In Israel is cost 100$

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    Time Value of Money is such an interesting concept to see in practice. I'd never thought about it before this website

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    It's just a rational decision for him! If you were to ask me if you should sell right now I'd say yes: why hold shares for 5 months for 3.5% profit if there's all kinds of markets you can make 5%+ on *this month*? Anyway, I exited at 2.5x, 450 profit. It's a bit of a gimmick play, punishing a timing mistake, but it was low-risk high-reward.

  • ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO · 3 months ago

    @TBill1 The person he should thank is cornholio67, who is a fool and who gave him $400 (his counterparty both cases, either alt acc or total braindead)

  • TBill1 · 3 months ago

    Lol he just exited all at good profit. I think you should perhaps apologize to him

  • ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO · 3 months ago

    @iutwpfal Do you think you will be able to exit a 16k position with profit? time is against you my friend, dont waste ur time

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    The Polymarket discord

  • polymark · 3 months ago

    Wait, which Discord are you talking about?

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    Oh that's sweet, thank you. About 1.5 ct average

  • SammR · 3 months ago

    at what price did you buy the yeses poet? big fan of you btw i've been following you on twitter for a while lol

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    It's easy: people bought thousands of shares at 99ct because they thought it would be an instant pay out. In a week or two they start realising they locked up all their capital and that's a pretty dumb thing to do and they contact me on discord and we negotiate a fair exit price that makes everyone happy.

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    You make 10% a month. Why would you be happy with 0.2%?

  • ABALOSPRESOPOLITICO · 3 months ago

    Risk profile its totally diff, at this yield i hold without problem if there are not better alternatives. But whats your thesis for being short with 20k shares when time its against you?

  • iutwpfal · 3 months ago

    Idk man seems like a terrible bet compared to your other bets?

As of Sep 29, 09:59 PM UTC