PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No85%

Yes16%

Price checked at Sep 30, 06:48 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.1K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria differ in no material way; PredictFun additionally displays a creation timestamp, which does not affect the question.

Polymarketthis market
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
25 holders · 10 comments · read Sep 29, 01:38 AM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T12:42:59.625557349Z
read Sep 30, 02:50 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Polymarket	62% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Polymarket	63% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Polymarket	76% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	Polymarket	88% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Polymarket	96% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Polymarket	62% No	$46	—	—	Open
Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Polymarket	59% No	$46	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders25

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments10

Top holders

lakatosnapoleon92724665655731998729135308609612067450896833698049619141850551880151715632198
AJSV27112911128935507224718321518777249463102744864364250689544933057028802964331
paas227112911128935507224718321518777249463102744864364250689544933057028802964331
SuperTests92724665655731998729135308609612067450896833698049619141850551880151715632198
Impossible-Earth92724665655731998729135308609612067450896833698049619141850551880151715632198

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY17%$13.67 days ago
BUY80%$3611 days ago
BUY80%$79.911 days ago
SELL83%$9.319 days ago
SELL83%$19.620 days ago
SELL84%$9.521 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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10 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

alts4life · 4 months ago
only if they launch
nogambler · 5 months ago
yeah very good bridge but underate
BearGrizzzy · 6 months ago
relay best bridge easy 100 mln YES
greedy-gambler · 6 months ago
going to be easy :)
HeyVaro · 7 months ago
Tge q2
Kii0nX · 8 months ago
no TGE till 2028?
lockingbird · 8 months ago
No TGE plan
Kii0nX · 8 months ago
didn't they raise over $40 million?
Lgndzz · 8 months ago
100m cents
bauer24 · 8 months ago
100m should be a lock in for a project like this

As of Sep 30, 07:28 AM UTC