PolymarketOpen

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No93%
Yes8%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$4.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Metamask officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders214
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments332

Best bid 7% · best ask 9%

Top holders

  • nbab47847149979849387151767506672651946803360765356517934722953405771880618672453
  • Radiant-Nursing98306800276678119035253858168995664914704379356839410903169834041771980840348
  • MaxEnt98306800276678119035253858168995664914704379356839410903169834041771980840348
  • PaddyAlpha47847149979849387151767506672651946803360765356517934722953405771880618672453
  • Trained-Notation98306800276678119035253858168995664914704379356839410903169834041771980840348

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL7%$0.92 days ago
  • SELL7%$3.62 days ago
  • BUY10%$52 days ago
  • SELL8%$3.63 days ago
  • BUY11%$53 days ago
  • SELL90%$5.94 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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332 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • MilliGuru · 27 days ago

    I thought they will never launch a token.

  • bsmaylov608 · last month

    just do it

  • helmsdeep · 2 months ago

    Never

  • steam22 · 3 months ago

    i prefer Rabby

  • Offbeat-Strawberry · 4 months ago

    september 30!

  • cornhusker · 4 months ago

    hope metamask doesnt screw over the OGs when this airdrop

  • lzpepe · 4 months ago

    tell me how many years this project has been promised by TGE

  • Decayer · 4 months ago

    -$11k pnl calling ppl braindead

  • 666c · 6 months ago

    1

  • joke7r1 · 7 months ago

    no chance of token in 2025 =) if now 2026

  • Decayer · 8 months ago

    Reality check

  • rajboy · 8 months ago

    The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify

  • xart · 9 months ago

    it was september( before market was created)

  • oiaoiaoia · 9 months ago

    holy shit you are right

  • Jovial-Tie · 9 months ago

    People have overlooked that metamask MUSD is a token launched by metamask in 2025. Dispute time!

  • henry88 · 9 months ago

    much more time needed

  • ilya3 · 9 months ago

    there is no chance of token in 2025

  • oiaoiaoia · 9 months ago

    it will conclude on 31th 11:59 PM ET to be exact

  • oiaoiaoia · 9 months ago

    yes

  • avger · 9 months ago

    If I choose "yes" on December 31st, will the "yes" vote become 100% when the results are released on the 29th?

As of Sep 30, 05:29 AM UTC