PolymarketOpen

Will Twice release a song in 2026?

No79%

Yes22%

Price checked at Oct 1, 10:53 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$46.3

Spread36%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?	Polymarket	52% Yes	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue yesterday

Holders43

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments4

Best bid 4% · best ask 40%

Top holders

Hard-Immigration63082074412180389493758449878170773864678221800252171957011978092042915832718
Seldon2653836010173612463624146098002800915270899202757098251483013768076017596826515
KimchiCapital53836010173612463624146098002800915270899202757098251483013768076017596826515
Worse-Scenario53836010173612463624146098002800915270899202757098251483013768076017596826515
kknotgambling63082074412180389493758449878170773864678221800252171957011978092042915832718

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL62%$0.14 days ago
SELL25%$1.25 days ago
SELL3%$26 days ago
SELL15%$0.88 days ago
BUY45%$2.38 days ago
SELL15%$9.68 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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4 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

5dl · 2 months ago
Man wtf
chaddefidegen · 7 months ago
newjeans aint newjeans anymore tho
Euphy · 7 months ago
Newjeans comeback is going to be epic!
Funny-Green · 7 months ago
holy spread

As of Oct 1, 11:09 PM UTC