PolymarketOpen

Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?

No84%
Yes16%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$154.7
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
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Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Polymarket95% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX?Polymarket91% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?Polymarket56% YesOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?Polymarket100% YesOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Polymarket78% NoOpen

Venue activity

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Comments3

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3 comments

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  • primarchh · 4 months ago

    400 dollars liquidity bruh, you are basically making the market

  • muppet-master · 7 months ago

    66c spread on TSMC lol

  • Chococremeux · 8 months ago

    Muricans in their full glory : you comunist country!

As of Sep 30, 01:37 AM UTC