PolymarketOpen

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

No96%

Yes5%

Price checked at Oct 2, 12:01 AM UTC

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24h volume$65.3

7d volume$123.3

30d volume$5.4K

Liquidity$3.4K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Donald Trump, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders129

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments6

Best bid 4% · best ask 6%

Top holders

brother-magpie109344588954313867033137202980782890058697742789675275726179569222219487308261
Insidious-Couple105361921751656170697022536149181517023199220861265251623491067290247511844313
rocky42017105361921751656170697022536149181517023199220861265251623491067290247511844313
enrico-vasaio109344588954313867033137202980782890058697742789675275726179569222219487308261
LofiNecktie105361921751656170697022536149181517023199220861265251623491067290247511844313

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL5%$0.64 days ago
SELL5%$2.34 days ago
BUY95%$1009 days ago
SELL7%$2.110 days ago
SELL7%$7.510 days ago
BUY8%$2.411 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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6 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

ithinkthisisgod · last month
nop
cryptoverse38 · 8 months ago
Truth social files for two ETFs today …. It is coming
Spectacular-Twitter · 8 months ago
Trump lunch
Stark-Hair · 8 months ago
Please, I need one dollar, guys, even just a few cents, please.
TruongMyLan · 8 months ago
Trump will launch it
Car · 8 months ago
Truth social will launch a coin soon as already confirmed. Trump is major stake holder

As of Oct 2, 01:01 AM UTC