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PolymarketOpen

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?

Yes75%
No25%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 24Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue activity

Holders68
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments13

Best bid 74% · best ask 85%

Top holders

  • TwoEyes114857043492613614973270979337500273592827573151892176432532240088586398012963
  • UnderdogOutlier60316009896902202779580480392506718387438109895130129317220467818156088562180
  • InterestingUser60316009896902202779580480392506718387438109895130129317220467818156088562180
  • Zaguri60316009896902202779580480392506718387438109895130129317220467818156088562180
  • bitcorekt60316009896902202779580480392506718387438109895130129317220467818156088562180

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY28%$102 days ago
  • BUY17%$10.13 days ago
  • SELL16%$3.25 days ago
  • BUY84%$17 days ago
  • SELL14%$9.88 days ago
  • SELL15%$8.88 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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13 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • UnderdogOutlier · 11 days ago

    lets go g2

  • Martymchigh · 5 months ago

    This would be bad for bitcoin.

  • QMG-CORE · 6 months ago

    Free penny

  • QMG-CORE · 8 months ago

    Big day! Announcement post market close

  • remedegen · 8 months ago

    dont gamble guys its no obvious

  • altdel · 8 months ago

    Guys, the decision has already been postponed, nothing will change until March 31. Be careful buying 'Yes'.

  • QMG-CORE · 9 months ago

    Not happening. Review 10th Feb, and Msci just said no

  • remedegen · 9 months ago

    ez win

  • Atlasloot · 9 months ago

    MSCI CONCLUDES REVIEW INTO DAT INDEX INCLUSION, DECIDES NOT TO EXCLUDE DATS LIKE MICROSTRATEGY FROM INDEXES

  • oliver333 · 9 months ago

    idk

  • ujspace · 10 months ago

    dosent matter

  • ApexPiggy · 10 months ago

    Nah

  • bisonhead · 10 months ago

    possible

As of Oct 1, 08:31 PM UTC