Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change. The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published. The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically. Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered. If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Polymarket | 87% Yes | Open |
| Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid 8% · best ask 11%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296640885422891285508960847838713395618772956482719646112169617452330020632219572
- mrtrump112113744539509359825070371588267315396190756455248577896535752019706446453778
- 0xe51b3d64da5b0b8a07a55f8bb3c3170237f73cad40885422891285508960847838713395618772956482719646112169617452330020632219572
- gtowagger112113744539509359825070371588267315396190756455248577896535752019706446453778
- 0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd112113744539509359825070371588267315396190756455248577896535752019706446453778
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL86%$17.22 days ago
- BUY9%$1.72 days ago
- SELL7%$3.85 days ago
- BUY14%$34.46 days ago
- BUY13%$11.86 days ago
- BUY10%$25.86 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
21 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- shelestamb · 29 days ago
i bet on november
- AngryBurgerkingPassenger · last month
He’ll nah September. October will be the worst
- mrtrump · 3 months ago
oct
- ruslanbes · 7 months ago
Switch into "Month" view and move your mouse to a certain month. The chart at the top will show you the CHANGE used for the resolution. It is calculated in percentage. The change considers body only (so, the difference in price between the beginning of the month and the end). Currently: Jan: -10.16%, Feb: -14.94%
- Acidic-Mesenchyme · 7 months ago
It's unclear what constitutes a "change," as it can be calculated by the candle body or the candlestick shadows. It's also unclear whether the change is considered absolute or percentage, as in January the percentage change was 22% and -$24,000, while in February it was 24% and -$20,000.
- 8DFf0D649F5164cd5717486700d8e39D5279947c · 7 months ago
The "Change" was higher in February than in January. How can February be resolved to No?
- trabzon · 7 months ago
i did it. come here again december
- CoinTrick · 7 months ago
nobody in the entire history of the stock market has ever calculated the change on a candle based on the high to low
- Charlie83 · 7 months ago
the wording messes up this market, it should be the highest value or peak, not the highest difference from day 1 to the last.
- trabzon · 7 months ago
bro how did you make this much money?
- Qualified-Behalf · 8 months ago
This bet has the most ambiguous (can even be considered wrong) title. Who ever made this should be fired. They need to work some where else.
- MistahFox · 8 months ago
June of course, 20 is higher than 15. January winning looks good, not sure why yes is so cheap, you should buy yes shares, free money
- trabzon · 8 months ago
guys " highest percentage change" what mean, if price monthly change -%20 in june(highest -%change) and price monthly change +%15 in November (highest +%change)wich one is win
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog got GDV and i need to get him treated now.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog has GDV and i'm begging for financial help, literally anything counts.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog has GDV and time is running out, could you guys spare $10? i am just being desperate here.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog got GDV and the bill is massive, can you guys please help me with $10? i am just desperate.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
GDV hit my dog out of nowhere and i can't afford the surgery, please anything helps.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog has GDV and i am absolutely terrified, please send help.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
emergency situation, my dog has GDV and we are rushing to the vet.
As of Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC