Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
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19 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- minoge · 2 months ago
Becuz he is afraid to select
- Cool-Halibut · 2 months ago
最难绷
- TossPlayer · 4 months ago
why?
- DeDollarization · 4 months ago
trading volume too small leaving room for robbery the stupid
- Yummy-Stake · 5 months ago
Why there is no "none of the above" options
- hyp888 · 7 months ago
你有毛病吗
- Cheese-burger · 7 months ago
wang xiang xi just out
- biaoge1985 · 8 months ago
wo feng le ma? wo bu gan xuan
- biaoge1985 · 8 months ago
我
- ImJustWin · 8 months ago
Except Dong jun, others are free money.
- xixixixixiix · 8 months ago
cai qi
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog got GDV and we are fighting for his life, could you please spare $10? desperate plea.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my dog is really sick with GDV and the costs are high, can you send anything?
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
please share or donate, my dog has GDV and we are at the emergency vet.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
my poor dog got GDV and we are at the emergency vet, could you guys spare $10? im just desperate here.
- i-am-gonna-be-millionaire-cr7 · 8 months ago
please, my dog is dying from GDV, can anyone help with anything? i'm begging.
- DontTrustMe · 8 months ago
Lil' Xi. 🥺
- Costly-Liquidity · 8 months ago
It's such a shame for seeing this market
- Robbb · 8 months ago
Basically who gonna get smoked and who isnt
As of Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC