PolymarketOpen

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Yes81%

No19%

Price checked at Oct 1, 02:01 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$587.5

Spread13%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 1, 02:50 PM UTC