PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No96%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:50 PM UTC

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24h volume$35.8

7d volume$35.8

30d volume$141.8

Liquidity$17.4K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria do not differ in any material way; PredictFun provides no separate resolution time, while Polymarket lists one.

Polymarketthis market
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
64 holders · 14 comments · read Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
read Sep 29, 08:31 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Polymarket	58% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Polymarket	82% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Polymarket	86% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Polymarket	74% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Polymarket	86% No	—	—	—	Open
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 1 hour ago

Holders64

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments14

Best bid 96% · best ask 97%

Top holders

asdasdfvasdfasdf84988825932254561689139868984747462316935591007949837666629200635220289630271
BigHC57369512173775427224410094082390214405572210433416643452338850544475419999474
Crazy-Lobster-Terracotta84988825932254561689139868984747462316935591007949837666629200635220289630271
toriribolla84988825932254561689139868984747462316935591007949837666629200635220289630271
Palatable-Cave84988825932254561689139868984747462316935591007949837666629200635220289630271

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Discussion on Predxy

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14 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Ajoir388 · 5 months ago
Bullish
duyingmei · 5 months ago
YES 🫡
Yndo · 6 months ago
If TGE is. 600M is an easy target. If BTC doesn’t move up, it could be an issue and TGE might get delayed.
maxdawg · 6 months ago
that makes no sense
Yndo · 6 months ago
3830567 ABS wallets, around 700K wallets has bronze+ Tier.
Yndo · 6 months ago
PENGU had around a $3B FDV on the first day, so a $1B FDV for ABS is realistic
maxdawg · 6 months ago
below 20M TVL, no users, no revenue, no gud dapps. fair value is not even 10M FDV.
HeyVaro · 8 months ago
Abstract: the actual value is around 200 million FVD.
Radiant-Tentacle · 8 months ago
SHIT Abstract ,ONLY PUA，no tge
Warmhearted-Gaffer · 8 months ago
no tge
mondilloc · 8 months ago
did you ever use the portal? nothing comes close...
Base · 8 months ago
no way lol. it's another useless governance token
Febrino · 8 months ago
2B - 5B
ver1961 · 8 months ago
800m its real

As of Sep 29, 11:21 PM UTC