PolymarketOpen

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

No88%

Yes12%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:00 PM UTC

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24h volume$280.3

7d volume$7.5K

30d volume$61.3K

Liquidity$23K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders326

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments7

Best bid 85% · best ask 86%

Top holders

Chims19403942433738057669751258603850966726898175707382755007222361144149685442397
nchgbhy19403942433738057669751258603850966726898175707382755007222361144149685442397
BackOfPandaGambler49809316184174645812690366399058546909186476692157419863310035678267697500999
johndoez19403942433738057669751258603850966726898175707382755007222361144149685442397
10145619403942433738057669751258603850966726898175707382755007222361144149685442397

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY86%$206 days ago
BUY15%$86 days ago
SELL86%$3026 days ago
SELL13%$37.16 days ago
SELL86%$8.66 days ago
BUY14%$406 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

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7 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

Chims · 8 days ago
100%😁
ryan777 · 8 days ago
100%😁
Crazy-Administration · 4 months ago
不要命啦？
Orthotropics-Fund · 6 months ago
Zhang Youxia is not referenced in that article
jiudubishu · 6 months ago
[link removed]
JeffLLLLLLLLL · 6 months ago
absolutely yes
ghostronics · 6 months ago
没人说话？

As of Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC