PolymarketOpen

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?

No89%
Yes11%

Price checked at

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24h volume$45
7d volume$299
30d volume$900
Liquidity$74.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 10 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Sourcehttps://www.fec.gov/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?Polymarket88% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders32
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 10% · best ask 11%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296658922101466193373335344897751128766829855477783990468281901099413309380770320
  • SitsToPee41743582415601049003331942374065703524534822586342858533554241205206427587044
  • Prickly-Eyrie41743582415601049003331942374065703524534822586342858533554241205206427587044
  • cigarettes41743582415601049003331942374065703524534822586342858533554241205206427587044
  • i2dt41743582415601049003331942374065703524534822586342858533554241205206427587044

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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As of Oct 24, 06:00 PM UTC