PolymarketOpen

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Down57%

Up44%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$26.8

7d volume$27.8

30d volume$27.8

Liquidity$247.1

Spread57%

ResolvesMay 1, 2027in 7 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 58 minutes ago

Holders49

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Best bid 15% · best ask 73%

Top holders

Forthright-Armpit18081805280351968518309311021935077229594058181825388112411253072091920552469
Simon4s74963141331195062237314572006245034537688531061367030646406821387935283146812
Radiant-Anarchy74963141331195062237314572006245034537688531061367030646406821387935283146812
Feminine-Hint74963141331195062237314572006245034537688531061367030646406821387935283146812
Defenseless-Eyebrow18081805280351968518309311021935077229594058181825388112411253072091920552469

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL15%$0.216 hours ago
SELL81%$16.117 hours ago
SELL81%$4.8yesterday
BUY94%$15 days ago
BUY17%$1last month
SELL84%$1.1last month

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

hl133 · 8 months ago
immigration
Bennatt · 8 months ago
It would be strange if any developed country in the world could still have a growing population these days.

As of Sep 29, 11:16 PM UTC