PolymarketOpen

Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?

No85%
Yes16%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$92
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 24Oct 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bitcoin Korea Premium Index reaches 8 or higher at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CryptoQuant, specifically the Korea Premium Index chart available at: https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-data/korea-premium-index Daily values shown on the chart will be used. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on a consensus of other credible crypto data sources tracking the Korea (Kimchi) premium.

Venue activity

Holders20
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Top holders

  • AlAhmeda29921827662343369724875783389421042145339682743187046728601400307106435953712
  • Seldon2661278027930529563334375473202603928096231717546950332937215502521794707200240
  • AJSV61278027930529563334375473202603928096231717546950332937215502521794707200240
  • ping012529921827662343369724875783389421042145339682743187046728601400307106435953712
  • Original-Anything-Petition61278027930529563334375473202603928096231717546950332937215502521794707200240

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL72%$16.1last month
  • SELL5%$0.8last month
  • BUY86%$25.82 months ago
  • SELL12%$32 months ago
  • SELL18%$0.33 months ago
  • SELL19%$1.33 months ago

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As of Oct 1, 05:03 PM UTC