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US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

No87%

Yes13%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$3.7

7d volume$150.7

30d volume$301.2

Liquidity$10.8K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Sep 29, 10:19 PM UTC