Will the NYSE choose Ethereum?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the NYSE choose Solana? | Polymarket | 70% No | Open |
| Will the NYSE choose Base? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
| Will the NYSE develop its own chain? | Polymarket | 60% No | Open |
| Will the NYSE choose a multichain setup? | Polymarket | 58% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 10:45 PM UTC