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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No100%
Yes0%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$188.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria and source of truth are identical; Polymarket lists a July 1, 2027 resolution timestamp, while PredictFun publishes no resolution timestamp, which does not change the underlying question.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

    Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    130 holders · 226 comments · read Sep 27, 08:24 PM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

    Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Sep 29, 09:18 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket76% YesOpen
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket81% NoOpen
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Polymarket98% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders130
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments257

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966100733002566192716497874408768561094415145643875217643587422489849307669637055
  • JustCrazy16223024047489006372491283864322078736180973077611484772976980168989752557591
  • donthackme16223024047489006372491283864322078736180973077611484772976980168989752557591
  • balthazar16223024047489006372491283864322078736180973077611484772976980168989752557591
  • classified16223024047489006372491283864322078736180973077611484772976980168989752557591

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY0%$115 days ago
  • SELL0%$0.324 days ago
  • BUY100%$219.824 days ago
  • BUY100%$2924 days ago
  • BUY100%$179.824 days ago
  • BUY100%$1024 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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257 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • rpoy11 · 7 hours ago

    Actual swedes do not vote for a left wing party. If only swedes voted the right wing would win 60/40

  • iutwpfal · 9 hours ago

    because you're a fucking idiot

  • manlets · 13 hours ago

    Det är visst sant, om man kollar på vad etniska svenskar röstar lutar det höger mycket mer

  • Giorgio2 · 14 hours ago

    it continues until new PM is appointed

  • betbuilder · 14 hours ago

    Nej, det är nya talmansrundor i morgon. Det är väl lite 50/50 vem bollen går till.

  • betbuilder · 14 hours ago

    Yes. But there are far better markets in that case. Just bet M+SD+L+KD to form the next coalition.

  • betbuilder · 14 hours ago

    Because it is not true what you are saying.

  • Fond-Killing · 20 hours ago

    Can a swede please reply to me? All across Europe where there is a high volume of immigrants (specifically Islamic immigrants) are turning right wing. Why do swedes break this pattern and still vote for a center left party?

  • FaroeseNationalist · yesterday

    If this goes to a snap election Ulf should be 65-70c - S are tanking in the polls

  • KariSpice · yesterday

    Yeah, but even the news is partly just relying on someone else's opinion. I agree overall, though.

  • rexen1 · yesterday

    Intressant

  • Nisse0905 · yesterday

    What will happen to this market if there are new elections?

  • OllonPiercing · 2 days ago

    yes. but not surprising. this was expected

  • draken06 · 2 days ago

    Ulf fick precis i uppdrag att bilda regering och jag sålde vid 7 cent😭 dock en regering med v är väldigt osannolikt

  • justtryingtosurvive · 2 days ago

    Im not confident but odds is odds

  • Bustling-Helium · 2 days ago

    read the news and understand it yourself dont bet on someone elses opinion

  • Bustling-Helium · 2 days ago

    These new news are very interesting

  • Nisse0905 · 2 days ago

    People who are now selling Kristersson to make fast cash have no idea how much more he will rise. You are going to have so much fomo

  • KariSpice · 2 days ago

    Why are you so confident? What is your point, if you don't mind me asking?

  • justtryingtosurvive · 2 days ago

    tick tock clock is ticking

As of Sep 29, 11:49 PM UTC