Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 70% No | Open |
| Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 61% No | Open |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 11:56 AM UTC