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Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

No96%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$83.5

7d volume$83.5

30d volume$253.1

Liquidity$15K

Spread0%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Sep 29, 10:23 PM UTC