Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue yesterdayBest bid 9% · best ask 12%
Top holders
- MajidJavadi69409168774165757897148405247485609965756023732214755803048587313389364883230
- denizz69409168774165757897148405247485609965756023732214755803048587313389364883230
- smartiz198921478848146685542836170196002164978830837380902570323687337863795093723563347
- pakukudolphi21478848146685542836170196002164978830837380902570323687337863795093723563347
- Cheerful-Nucleotidase21478848146685542836170196002164978830837380902570323687337863795093723563347
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY91%$2.5yesterday
- BUY12%$24yesterday
- SELL9%$0.92 days ago
- BUY11%$1.13 days ago
- BUY9%$0.94 days ago
- BUY92%$305 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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31 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- ArthurGreen · 29 days ago
gg
- Txn · 4 months ago
Is this not yes?
- jrk001 · 4 months ago
" Iran's president Masoud Pezeshkian submitted his resignation Sunday citing a "takeover" of the administration by the IRGC. The claims were made by Iran International, citing an anonymous source "familiar with the matter". The government in Iran, however, has refuted the claims. Presidential Office Deputy Head of Communications Mehdi Tabatabaei wrote in a post on X that the Iran International report is "false" and a part of the "media games" amid the ongoing negotiations for a ceasefire. “Pezeshkian would not back down from serving the Iranian people", he wrote. Far from confirming it, Iran has dismissed the reports, noting that they are "false," alleging that it was manufactured to manipulate the narrative around the US-Iran talks. Meanwhile, IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency reported, citing an informed government source, that Masoud Pezeshkian remains in his role as President and has not resigned. "
- seasonedsusan · 4 months ago
He's resigning:
- oopslostmoney · 4 months ago
Masoud Pezeshkian after reports of his resignation: I am continuing in the field and ready for any event
- Voidofhype · 4 months ago
He is resigning
- SqMoneyHunter · 6 months ago
Ok so falling Iranian regime has more chance than their president doesn't exist? You know if the regime fall there will be no previous president right ?
- geniuspersian · 6 months ago
IRAN IN CHAOS: PRESIDENT WANTS OUT "There’s a real upheaval in Iran... President Pezeshkian is considering resigning from his post." Channel 14's Senior Iran Analyst @DBalazada explains what inside sources tell him is happening today inside the government: Pezeshkian is reportedly "exceptionally angry" at the Revolutionary Guards, accusing them of "reckless" conduct. He claims the failure to protect Ali Larijani was not negligence, but a deliberate move to ensure his elimination. The IRGC is reportedly "very pleased" with Larijani’s death, having already prepared an "elimination dossier" on him and his brother. The bottom line - Iran is transitioning into an extremist military regime where Mojtaba Khamenei acts as a mere "puppet" of the Revolutionary Guards, who completely control the country.
- geniuspersian · 6 months ago
🚨🇮🇷 New: Iran's President could not submit his resignation to the new Supreme Leader, because "Mojtaba Khamenei could not be reached", according to Channel 14 report.
- geniuspersian · 7 months ago
He is looking to resign.
- geniuspersian · 7 months ago
[link removed]
- geniuspersian · 7 months ago
[link removed]
- Ttt1 · 7 months ago
he's going to resign
- Snow-White · 7 months ago
thanks to the dumbfucks for the No shares in the 30s, but I am OUT if he is just gonna walk among the people like this - I'm not here to provide life insurance on brave people!
- DOG · 7 months ago
This market was so underrated for a long time!
- AlAhmeda · 7 months ago
because Mossad wants the war to go on
- Sorena · 7 months ago
He's gonna quit and then they will kill him is my prediction in a couple of months
- Yo-c · 7 months ago
😶🌫️🤣🤣
- Yo-c · 7 months ago
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
- Quilty · 7 months ago
why would israel kill him hes basically a mossad agent, hes weak
As of Sep 29, 09:31 PM UTC