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Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?

No81%
Yes20%

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24h volume$33.3
7d volume$1.3K
30d volume$6.1K
Liquidity$274.8
Spread12%
ResolvesJan 10, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders71
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments1

Best bid 20% · best ask 23%

Top holders

  • 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296624731205188504660075766047220516024422543514577201812142838327398782381892014
  • MaxEnt24068822425892014677273812195794927391380004762343953944052764606472380690421
  • KTKK24731205188504660075766047220516024422543514577201812142838327398782381892014
  • 38741100741561181409221789738724068822425892014677273812195794927391380004762343953944052764606472380690421
  • LocalHunter24068822425892014677273812195794927391380004762343953944052764606472380690421

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL79%$7.88 days ago
  • SELL78%$15.68 days ago
  • SELL81%$102.18 days ago
  • BUY20%$58 days ago
  • BUY20%$48 days ago
  • BUY83%$7.38 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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1 comment

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • ImKun · 4 months ago

    anyone can explain why the price is down and lost 90%? Why am I winning $120 but get only $0.10?

As of Sep 29, 10:14 PM UTC