PolymarketOpen

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

No87%

Yes13%

Price checked at Oct 2, 09:40 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$168.3

Spread6%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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As of Oct 2, 10:20 AM UTC