PolymarketOpen

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No94%

Yes6%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:17 PM UTC

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24h volume$90.2

7d volume$395.8

30d volume$529.2

Liquidity$12.9K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Sep 29, 08:22 PM UTC