PolymarketOpen

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

No96%
Yes4%

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24h volume$82.2
7d volume$82.2
30d volume$477
Liquidity$12.5K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders136
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments6

Top holders

  • Spanish-Priority66894634830747454916907378428251287456066687728430991644037204212951160547906
  • JCK202466894634830747454916907378428251287456066687728430991644037204212951160547906
  • Nadmi19433310307215001238395046325471448861459786056065350262097919931478169888007
  • Caelum-Galyon19433310307215001238395046325471448861459786056065350262097919931478169888007
  • v.l66894634830747454916907378428251287456066687728430991644037204212951160547906

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY96%$107 days ago
  • BUY4%$18 days ago
  • BUY96%$122.48 days ago
  • SELL4%$1.911 days ago
  • SELL4%$3.218 days ago
  • SELL96%$57.422 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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6 comments

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  • anpan1man · 3 months ago

    有点魔

  • Andyge · 6 months ago

    赖以生存

  • Makise.Kurisu · 7 months ago

    Taiwan is a son of the US, the US is the son of Israel. Taiwanese have no balls to criticize their grandpa

  • Makise.Kurisu · 7 months ago

    信賴台灣!賴皇萬歲萬萬歲!信賴神得永生!

  • Garcioe · 9 months ago

    For him, resigning as president was much easier than leaving with the American Institute in Taiwan.

  • IraqiLobster · 9 months ago

    depends if he criticizes israel or not

As of Sep 30, 01:43 AM UTC