Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 10 days agoBest bid — · best ask 0%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296613549630822871121096293645894122695938989444541076484326597741702473288886642
- erokha110147522983295364410360843655613380113369733862822151390122875655395261530519
- classified110147522983295364410360843655613380113369733862822151390122875655395261530519
- bogdanc1110147522983295364410360843655613380113369733862822151390122875655395261530519
- imsolo110147522983295364410360843655613380113369733862822151390122875655395261530519
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY0%$110 days ago
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- BUY0%$510 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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1,549 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- anonymous · 9 days ago
а у едра ведь +31 место. вроде всё правильно
- eme10 · 9 days ago
Another PolyMarket SCAM!!!! "This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election." This market is saying WHO GAINS MOST SEATS compared to BEFORE ELECTION. SO that means if before election one party has 50 and now 51 but wins,but another party had 1 and now 48, second party has won 47 seats and first party that wins the election has only won ONE SEAT. So the winner isnt who wins the election but who wins most seats compared to before election. SCAM AGAIN!!
- ctrlzen · 9 days ago
У едрисни было 310 мест и стало 355??? WTF??? Чо за бреееед???)))))) Хорошо, что я уехал из этого дерьма. Всем кто в рашке – сил вам.
- archaic · 9 days ago
Hopefully, you will be able to afford a trip to St. Petersburg and a visit to the Hermitage one day.
- alfredon996 · 9 days ago
That's not Russia, it's Polymarket chaotic resolution system
- dromedaryy · 9 days ago
One Hump Camel.
- hgghfghg · 9 days ago
what app do u use to see? u from russia?
- VoogaBooga · 9 days ago
Да я уже и в поддержку и на почту диспут открыть написал. Но когда результат есть деньги уже все ушли, так что вроде ничего здесь не изменить уже.
- usuch · 9 days ago
Очень круто, что в России как и в других развитых богатых суверенных странах всё ещё проходят выборы
- Wailkss · 9 days ago
ГООООЙДА!!!!
- Wailkss · 9 days ago
Удачи, я не в РФ живу, клоун)
- burmaldaTradernost · 9 days ago
Фух, поставил против Единой России потому что переживал, что предатели в лице либералов смогут обмануть россиян в их выборе, но слава богу выборы прошли честно, граждане сделали свой правильный выбор - за Единую Россию, за особый путь нашей страны, который возглавляет наш непревзойденный Президент, которого уважает весь мир. Впереди великие свершения, которые наша страна продолжает уже более 20 лет под управлением профессионалов в лице единоросов и ВВП. Гойда, братья и сестры, гойда!
- wlsaxk · 9 days ago
Разве уже объявили результаты? Вроде же в пятницу
- Isengard1 · 9 days ago
ggs
- moneymakingmachine · 9 days ago
gg
- absolutelyfkngnot · 9 days ago
If you don't know how russia works, you better not go into this option
- Flacomalo · 9 days ago
another scam??
- Maschencovskiy · 9 days ago
Ну я в принципе не ожидал другой исход
- eme10 · 9 days ago
someone dispute this, the market clearly says the party that GAINS MORE SETAS COMPARED TO BEFORE THE ELECTION not the party that wins most seats.
- gopfan2 · 9 days ago
гг лудики
As of Sep 30, 08:17 PM UTC