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PolymarketOpen

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume$13.2
7d volume$143.7
30d volume$7.6K
Liquidity$15.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Holders224
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments28

Top holders

  • -wraith-49869418041248619018553819482729299524581238538490996057109470282113708956054
  • xcaiox49869418041248619018553819482729299524581238538490996057109470282113708956054
  • baratinhacripto57447493927506792441927955469357830923481354210210100770826102565874646658296
  • LongAndWindingRoad49869418041248619018553819482729299524581238538490996057109470282113708956054
  • Marcelix57447493927506792441927955469357830923481354210210100770826102565874646658296

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

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  • BUY96%$5.210 days ago
  • SELL4%$0.811 days ago
  • SELL4%$9.311 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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28 comments

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  • littledice · 2 months ago

    kkkkkkkkkkkkkkk genio das finanças... abre um canal no youtube!!

  • littledice · 2 months ago

    jogou USD 50,00 no lixo entao, isso que voce quis dizer

  • Fluffy-Tachometer · 4 months ago

    Eu colocaria todo o meu patrimônio no NÃO, porém para ganhar apenas 6% não vale a pena, dado que a taxa de juros no Brasil vai dar mais de 15% de retorno neste mesmo período.

  • itxsaw · 6 months ago

    Up

  • itxsaw2 · 6 months ago

    A probabilidade real de impeachment de um ministro do STF no Brasil é extremamente baixa, próxima de zero no curto e médio prazo, apesar de ser juridicamente possível. Isso ocorre porque o processo depende do aval do presidente do Senado, que historicamente engaveta esses pedidos, além de exigir apoio político significativo em um ambiente onde senadores evitam confronto direto com o STF devido ao alto custo institucional, risco de crise política e impacto econômico. Como nunca houve um impeachment de ministro na prática e não há incentivos relevantes para que isso ocorra, esse cenário só se tornaria plausível diante de um evento excepcional, e mesmo se andasse o ministro renunciaria antes ,resolvendo o mercado para “não” segundo as regras

  • ReimuHakureiX · 6 months ago

    enquanto alcolumbre e hugo mota no comando das casas, nunca

  • Glass-Research · 6 months ago

    Coloquei 50 dólares em SIM, mas acredito que eles possam sair apenas por renuncia. Nenhum deles irão querer ser o primeiro ministro impeachemado do Brasil.

  • h0ip0ll0i · 7 months ago

    Inclusive painho ta articulando pro Toffoli renunciar, todos ali sabem que um impeachment em ano eleitoral seria muito danoso pra ele

  • kr1t1c4l · 7 months ago

    é fake

  • kr1t1c4l · 7 months ago

    só se for renúncia! impeachment talvez so em 2027

  • baratinhacripto · 7 months ago

    cara ta apostando em nao e falando pra rapaziada comprar sim kkkk devia ser ministro do stf tbm parça

  • Oddball-Eyeliner · 7 months ago

    zero novidade. os reis do olimpo são intocáveis

  • h0ip0ll0i · 7 months ago

    a propria PF ja disse que nao via investigar, feijoada again

  • tanabe · 7 months ago

    agora é capaz ein, moraes vai se lascar depois das mensagens com vorcaro

  • Oddball-Eyeliner · 7 months ago

    todo mundo sabe, que nao vai dar em nada, e nenhum ministro do stf vai sofrer impeachment

  • Automatic-Elephant · 7 months ago

    A Federal pegou muita coisa de 3 Ministros, mas Toffoli tava represando. Agora, a caixa foi aberta e vem chumbo grosso.

  • Oddball-Eyeliner · 7 months ago

    aqui é dinheiro certo no No. bostil nunca vai cair alguém do stf

  • Oddball-Eyeliner · 7 months ago

    aqui eh dinheiro certo.

  • CYBERBULL1991 · 7 months ago

    Só uma pressão da executiva norte americana faria isso acontecer. cisnei negros existem é uma boa aposta!

  • fernandin · 7 months ago

    vc por aqui meu amigo

As of Sep 30, 03:22 AM UTC