New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 days agoBest bid 98% · best ask 98%
Top holders
- Foolhardy-Rail32659009526475659897371564072228315909246519607913270143285466073749111434555
- qmarktea210105539096912125754945219132443212006120433983212241754837541219242285144869
- Outgoing-Paste32659009526475659897371564072228315909246519607913270143285466073749111434555
- Macks2210105539096912125754945219132443212006120433983212241754837541219242285144869
- Upright-Snug10105539096912125754945219132443212006120433983212241754837541219242285144869
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- SELL2%$2.27 days ago
- SELL98%$1.57 days ago
- SELL2%$09 days ago
- SELL2%$3.211 days ago
- SELL97%$13.412 days ago
- SELL97%$4.912 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
682 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- morganmysticme · 14 days ago
cant wait
- Ajar-Metallurgist · 3 months ago
They released the entire first season in VHS version.
- Academic-Forecast · 4 months ago
Is a special Christmas or Halloween episode valid?
- Diplopia2 · 4 months ago
how much have you lost on conformity gate now?
- Outgoing-Paste · 6 months ago
Seems like you may want to keep an eye on your phone. Don’t reply too quickly. Hope it works out this time around.
- Gorilla. · 6 months ago
Betting on whether Netflix will release more Stranger Things episodes feels like betting on whether my ex will text me back, except at least Eleven had the decency to close the gate.
- Outgoing-Paste · 7 months ago
It takes people on both sides to have a market.
- Outgoing-Paste · 7 months ago
Add the March 31 and April 30th Market
- Outgoing-Paste · 7 months ago
Very good odds your comment becomes a forever meme
- zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz · 7 months ago
Jesus, you actually bet $18k on yes by Dec 31? The real odds are probably 0.01% chance.
- Foolhardy-Rail · 7 months ago
They made a march 15th market they might as well make one for the month
- zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz · 7 months ago
just let it go
- Yogooon · 7 months ago
+1
- Outgoing-Paste · 7 months ago
+1 for this
- Foolhardy-Rail · 7 months ago
Can we get March 31st market?
- kdvks · 7 months ago
i thought it was a Star Wars version....
- OraculumNobius · 8 months ago
minus 90% you meen )
- f1tyc3nt · 8 months ago
finally it's over
- perpcode0072nell · 8 months ago
sources tell me
- Outgoing-Paste · 8 months ago
Guess we’ll see!
As of Sep 29, 10:28 PM UTC