PolymarketOpen

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

No86%

Yes15%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume$12.5

7d volume$12.5

30d volume$594.3

Liquidity$15.1K

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Insurrection Act invoked by September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:20 PM UTC