PolymarketOpen

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?

No89%
Yes11%

Price checked at

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$239.9
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Venue activity

Holders25
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments5

Best bid 84% · best ask 94%

Top holders

  • cryptoincome48984150134030983887701883728445942697450441772371074418852045411052045374879
  • PaddyAlpha61881906872927307183512365979246682940337243841412974307991462741787273010019
  • graysonmiawalker61881906872927307183512365979246682940337243841412974307991462741787273010019
  • lucasadonisryan61881906872927307183512365979246682940337243841412974307991462741787273010019
  • apiwat48984150134030983887701883728445942697450441772371074418852045411052045374879

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY92%$79.314 days ago
  • SELL20%$818 days ago
  • BUY93%$127 days ago
  • SELL86%$1.128 days ago
  • BUY91%$88.729 days ago
  • SELL87%$4.42 months ago

Discussion on Predxy

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5 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • Wordsmith · 5 months ago

    poly obviously

  • Arb4arb4 · 8 months ago

    $poly

  • Granular-Propane · 9 months ago

    POLY is

  • Granular-Propane · 9 months ago

    $POLY will be 50B

  • Wojtek · 9 months ago

    $POLY, of course :)

As of Sep 30, 06:45 AM UTC