Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 days agoBest bid 84% · best ask 94%
Top holders
- cryptoincome48984150134030983887701883728445942697450441772371074418852045411052045374879
- PaddyAlpha61881906872927307183512365979246682940337243841412974307991462741787273010019
- graysonmiawalker61881906872927307183512365979246682940337243841412974307991462741787273010019
- lucasadonisryan61881906872927307183512365979246682940337243841412974307991462741787273010019
- apiwat48984150134030983887701883728445942697450441772371074418852045411052045374879
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY92%$79.314 days ago
- SELL20%$818 days ago
- BUY93%$127 days ago
- SELL86%$1.128 days ago
- BUY91%$88.729 days ago
- SELL87%$4.42 months ago
Discussion on Predxy
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Nobody has said anything here yet.
5 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Wordsmith · 5 months ago
poly obviously
- Arb4arb4 · 8 months ago
$poly
- Granular-Propane · 9 months ago
POLY is
- Granular-Propane · 9 months ago
$POLY will be 50B
- Wojtek · 9 months ago
$POLY, of course :)
As of Sep 30, 06:45 AM UTC