PolymarketOpen

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

No93%

Yes7%

Price checked at Sep 30, 01:42 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$404.4

Spread2%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used. A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

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As of Sep 30, 01:51 AM UTC