PolymarketOpen

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?

No91%

Yes9%

Price checked at Sep 30, 05:02 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$783.2

Spread10%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capitalization rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?	Polymarket	89% No	—	—	—	Open
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?	Polymarket	75% No	—	—	—	Open
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?	Polymarket	92% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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Comments0

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As of Sep 30, 05:30 AM UTC