PolymarketOpen

Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No92%

Yes8%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:49 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.6K

7d volume$9K

30d volume$18.2K

Liquidity$1.9K

Spread3%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	87% Yes	$205.4	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 days ago

Holders92

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments4

Best bid 3% · best ask 8%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296664127540731227884048024410158346875473683061339030425933229284182417481073291
LornaPredicts109653694401587996238634579753195888081567274889934639277234443069656570216996
resfeber109653694401587996238634579753195888081567274889934639277234443069656570216996
afossuka109653694401587996238634579753195888081567274889934639277234443069656570216996
BobbyBakedBeans109653694401587996238634579753195888081567274889934639277234443069656570216996

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY5%$1.14 days ago
BUY5%$1.64 days ago
BUY5%$5.34 days ago
BUY5%$1.64 days ago
SELL2%$04 days ago
BUY5%$14 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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4 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

AssyrianGambler · 4 months ago
Beneil Dariush Will be champions
vodolei · 5 months ago
arman chemp
jordankach · 7 months ago
Topturo dog walks both of them
Tabithx · 9 months ago
Don't count out the old guard yet. Charles 'Do Bronx' Oliveira and Max Holloway are fighting for the BMF at UFC 326, and the winner is 100% going to be back in the title picture

As of Sep 29, 11:17 PM UTC