PolymarketOpen

Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes60%

No40%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:07 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$230

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	98% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Mario Bautista be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	65% No	$10	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 6 days ago

Holders85

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments2

Best bid 32% · best ask 33%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b12966111543382850309041658546717463004071797230452365609295654546414763372564317909
abouttojump111582290315533419288012984875852804378430754577906052162266375907338857889487
4751346111582290315533419288012984875852804378430754577906052162266375907338857889487
mwenya111543382850309041658546717463004071797230452365609295654546414763372564317909
ooops111582290315533419288012984875852804378430754577906052162266375907338857889487

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY33%$2.66 days ago
SELL63%$6.37 days ago
SELL36%$0.68 days ago
SELL37%$0.68 days ago
BUY59%$119 days ago
BUY62%$10010 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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2 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

POWERSLAP-EXPERT · 6 months ago
Merab at 10% is a gift
Haydeny · 9 months ago
The division is so stacked that the belt changes hands every few months anyway. I could see a scenario where the top guys beat each other up and a young hungry lion like Talbott or even David Martinez snatches it by year-end.

As of Sep 29, 09:19 PM UTC