PolymarketOpen

Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No96%

Yes4%

Price checked at Sep 29, 09:58 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.7K

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	99% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	91% Yes	$137.3	—	—	Open
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	100% No	$2	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 8 days ago

Holders53

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments6

Best bid 95% · best ask 99%

Top holders

0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296615350351316723951048149101434454695978330315628997617434273712709856658543733
nogambler84786072093733178623464982703048632449273034834327545705181016615404031695100
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.84786072093733178623464982703048632449273034834327545705181016615404031695100
marksman84786072093733178623464982703048632449273034834327545705181016615404031695100
Hyperlong84786072093733178623464982703048632449273034834327545705181016615404031695100

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

BUY4%$0.28 days ago
SELL94%$9.49 days ago
BUY99%$9.99 days ago
BUY4%$1.39 days ago
BUY4%$1.29 days ago
BUY3%$0.89 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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6 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

nogambler · 8 days ago
van only get 7 days medical suspension so starboy vs van in december this year
nogambler · 10 days ago
van vs manel kape in december
chaimo · 20 days ago
our Van
nogambler · 27 days ago
Manel Starboy Kape🦾
BetterDeadThanRed · 4 months ago
Pantoja easy money
hatzoobot123 · 5 months ago
pantoja will fight fot the title probably end of the year and he probably will win

As of Sep 29, 10:21 PM UTC