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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

No83%
Yes18%

Price checked at

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24h volume$127.4
7d volume$1.5K
30d volume$3K
Liquidity$3.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket lists a settlement time of January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, while PredictFun does not specify a separate settlement timestamp.
  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:41:58.065680699Z

    read Sep 29, 09:52 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    199 holders · 267 comments · read Sep 21, 06:04 PM UTC

Venue activity

Holders199
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments306

Best bid 17% · best ask 21%

Top holders

  • mewmew146094258080196889322046056727689179412841124675494563561748811364384667201787
  • wackywu46094258080196889322046056727689179412841124675494563561748811364384667201787
  • mister111123979773390611496299652546131606735686099256186322678196712320732715801255871
  • Geribelas23979773390611496299652546131606735686099256186322678196712320732715801255871
  • Hyperlong23979773390611496299652546131606735686099256186322678196712320732715801255871

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL17%$2.79 days ago
  • SELL17%$10.711 days ago
  • SELL79%$411 days ago
  • BUY83%$512 days ago
  • BUY24%$1.214 days ago
  • BUY22%$1.114 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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306 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • SubashChandraBose · last month

    Batman said that not Sun Tzi

  • helmsdeep · 2 months ago

    The year could be December 31, 3026 and it would still not happen

  • STONKS228 · 3 months ago

    Airdrop was the rugs we got along the way (c) Sun Tzi 322 BC

  • BlackJacks · 3 months ago

    chances of a quantum hyper galaxy IIV spawning in your room spitting out a airdrop is more common than pumpfun doing one online

  • IamBatman- · 5 months ago

    Airdrop was the rugs we got along the way

  • BlackJacks · 5 months ago

    airdrop supply burned for a laugh 🤣🤣 send the yes to 0 like a pumpfun rugpull

  • studious · 7 months ago

    this month

  • liyans · 8 months ago

    犹太人全家死绝

  • STONKS228 · 9 months ago

    hehe

  • STONKS228 · 9 months ago

    Hehe

  • Jewishere · 9 months ago

    [link removed]

  • wthellyonte · 9 months ago

    hes onto something

  • STONKS228 · 9 months ago

    0 volume, sol bleed, red market, token down bad hmm we probably should airdrop them lmao

  • STONKS228 · 9 months ago

    Legal case

  • usuch · 10 months ago

    Perfect timing to airdrop now - dump it harder - accumulate all the supply

  • ffsaas · 10 months ago

    never

  • guesswhatnow · 10 months ago

    and when will "Never" be resolved lol?

  • slipapa · 10 months ago

    Please add a "Never" in this market

  • elysium · 10 months ago

    airdrop ?

  • Excitable-Spelling · 10 months ago

    yo the site

As of Sep 29, 10:13 PM UTC