USDE depeg by December 31?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDE-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDE below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDE-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDEUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDE-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDE information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDE was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| USDC depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| USDS depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| DAI depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| PYUSD depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| USD1 depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| USD0 depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| GHO depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| USDTb depeg by December 31? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Sep 29, 11:52 PM UTC