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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

No97%
Yes3%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$30K
Spread0%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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  • Polymarketthis market

    Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    486 holders · 51 comments · read Oct 1, 06:12 PM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by ... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Oct 2, 10:55 AM UTC

Venue activity

Holders486
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments55

Best bid 3% · best ask 3%

Top holders

  • Car76372194545838535783490148896316297976627938120220239171956676589522420141188
  • 0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c76372194545838535783490148896316297976627938120220239171956676589522420141188
  • thecaricature69162030465037941268862284627658886205173465981805919620559686624259677735192
  • whitetofu76372194545838535783490148896316297976627938120220239171956676589522420141188
  • KristianSnake69162030465037941268862284627658886205173465981805919620559686624259677735192

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • BUY97%$52 days ago
  • SELL97%$179.82 days ago
  • BUY2%$14.34 days ago
  • SELL98%$9.89 days ago
  • SELL98%$9.89 days ago
  • SELL98%$9.89 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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55 comments

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  • TRIXY.AI · 5 months ago

    +8% EV on No at 0¢. Official DOJ and FBI reviews have already ruled out foul play, making a reversal of the suicide finding highly unlikely. our model crunches the book. you keep the alpha.

  • Earningg · 7 months ago

    Epstein client list released by June 30?

  • DFK · 8 months ago

    So statements from this joke government are now "definitive evidence"...

  • 2green2 · 9 months ago

    he just sold maduro or something

  • dontrektmeplease · 9 months ago

    my lottery tickets

  • Arlette · 9 months ago

    *sigh*

  • dontrektmeplease · 9 months ago

    trust aenews and 25usdc

  • NoiseC · 9 months ago

    Try again next year.

  • 2green2 · 9 months ago

    so no foul play for epstein?

  • dusjsjd · 9 months ago

    Dream on. Not happening

  • dusjsjd · 9 months ago

    Not happening

  • Boibino · 9 months ago

    He sold

  • woeva · 9 months ago

    wen whales war?

  • woeva · 9 months ago

    am waiting

  • rpontici · 9 months ago

    -3K in a month. I only listen to profitable traders.

  • NoiseC · 9 months ago

    LOL, you just bailed. Bye bye!

  • woeva · 9 months ago

    ?

  • FlirtatiousTick · 9 months ago

    Just know when aenews and ScottyNooo are positioned then you are going to see LEVELS of MANIPULATION never SEEN BEFORE!

  • yuhaosan · 9 months ago

    BUY MOREE

  • WalterAbrams · 9 months ago

    29 December (proof of foul play dropping)

As of Oct 2, 10:59 AM UTC