Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

No96%
Yes5%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$15K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

    123 holders · 2 comments · read Oct 2, 10:32 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

    read Oct 2, 03:13 PM UTC

Venue activity

Holders123
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments2

Top holders

  • 0x6c104a31c105ab2573a42e0f178f961e4496df5c50100538913445815307703112616258975070399904586460690699614749314148623601110
  • neutralwave2336728857867611633133460325558184760302806953709023401335708530985825837184180
  • DEGENKHAN50100538913445815307703112616258975070399904586460690699614749314148623601110
  • ononai36728857867611633133460325558184760302806953709023401335708530985825837184180
  • dwFqcd4Z50100538913445815307703112616258975070399904586460690699614749314148623601110

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL4%$3.28 days ago
  • SELL4%$6.18 days ago
  • SELL95%$0.69 days ago
  • SELL95%$27.612 days ago
  • SELL4%$1.114 days ago
  • SELL4%$2.914 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

2 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • WELTRAUMJESUS · 8 months ago

    what if trump dies and vance takes over? where is the bet for that? :D

  • paddaa · 8 months ago

    Trump wants a fourth term! [link removed]

As of Oct 2, 03:14 PM UTC