PolymarketOpen

Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?

No62%

Yes38%

Price checked at Oct 1, 06:10 AM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$102.4

Spread71%

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Oct 1, 06:15 AM UTC