PolymarketOpen

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

No87%

Yes13%

Price checked at Oct 2, 08:05 AM UTC

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24h volume$1.3K

7d volume$2.3K

30d volume$4.2K

Liquidity$3.1K

Spread8%

ResolvesJan 2, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Oct 2, 08:54 AM UTC