PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes100%

No0%

Price checked at Sep 29, 08:17 PM UTC

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24h volume$199.9

7d volume$27.1K

30d volume$285K

Liquidity$24.3K

Spread0%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. The venues list different nominal resolution timestamps, but both criteria use December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as the substantive deadline. No material difference in source or cancellation criteria is published.

LimitlessOpen →
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...: December 31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0 holders · read Sep 29, 07:16 PM UTC
Polymarketthis market
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
831 holders · 28 comments · read Sep 26, 12:21 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Polymarket	100% No	$71.2	—	—	Open
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Polymarket	99% Yes	$58.8	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 3 days ago

Holders831

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments27

Best bid 100% · best ask —

Top holders

Greenhug61786136836547770521111743494575582395458930966240091848908759010720929112549108
4e2fbc2acf35608595602971585131748334524997534059288005974951964270070510209825391272871
vaniyokk86136836547770521111743494575582395458930966240091848908759010720929112549108
0xfa394a598dbf573202a8286b45f512c7a383977f86136836547770521111743494575582395458930966240091848908759010720929112549108
py3-88886136836547770521111743494575582395458930966240091848908759010720929112549108

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

SELL100%$303 days ago
SELL0%$1.33 days ago
SELL0%$28.84 days ago
SELL99%$148.14 days ago
SELL1%$1.54 days ago
SELL99%$49.54 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

27 comments

From Polymarket's own thread

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.

anoinwhowin · 13 days ago
are you dumb
BrusselsHandsaw · 15 days ago
please resolve this one
azzakari · 20 days ago
🥳
MeNoDatNutReelMuni · 20 days ago
Pre-orders are available Oct 16, 2026 RIP
CoinMaster123 · 20 days ago
bruh
UraniumLover · 20 days ago
Why?
iForgor · 20 days ago
GG
iForgor · 21 days ago
Don’t fuck me over 🙏
Relaccsed · 21 days ago
Who will be getting this one?
Rinzooffical · 21 days ago
can polymarket make the fucking rules specific for once does pre order count or no
Gripping-Trance-Sorbet · 21 days ago
There are endless reports about the purchase time exposed online, who should I believe?
Gripping-Trance-Sorbet · 22 days ago
No, pre-orders are on the whitelist.
usurper55 · 23 days ago
rules are very vague on this. uma can just decide any direction with zero concequences
Uncommon-Tabernacle-Lab · 24 days ago
Most tech analysts forecast a Q4 November release because of the supply chain constraints. But I’m hopeful we can at least get them by October😄
guluh · 24 days ago
hmm doesnt mean
Albatross1 · 26 days ago
Does pre-order count as available for purchase?
Linslav · 26 days ago
"available for purchase" do reservations count?
Dr.mett · 3 months ago
Ok buddy
Granddaughter · 3 months ago
"Apple tells suppliers to plan 10M folding iPhones this year" hmm doesnt mean it *must* be coming out
Granddaughter · 3 months ago
Apple tells suppliers to plan 10M folding iPhones this year

As of Sep 29, 08:23 PM UTC