Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
read Sep 30, 07:30 PM UTC
- Polymarketthis market
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
354 holders · 39 comments · read Sep 27, 11:36 PM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoTop holders
- alphastrike1032842597925388411947401997144667159337666668967988464279723455370811463728753
- 0xfa394a598dbf573202a8286b45f512c7a383977f32842597925388411947401997144667159337666668967988464279723455370811463728753
- sula952799286648655633868231744185944605567361660243879695992570555682921500736029261
- Red781RuM99286648655633868231744185944605567361660243879695992570555682921500736029261
- molodoyy99286648655633868231744185944605567361660243879695992570555682921500736029261
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Discussion on Predxy
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33 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- molodoyy · 18 days ago
not count
- ChebupeliFlex · 18 days ago
HomePod
- unaHermana · 2 months ago
It'll count as whatever the resolver decides it as
- whatisluv · 3 months ago
Wait, just quick question. So if a product like lets say “HomePod” its introduce as “reinvented” and with a whole new name and look and interaction, (replacing it) like lets say AI-POD or whatever. Will this count as YES or NO ??
- molodoyy · 3 months ago
What are the arguments of YES holders?
- coin-tr · 6 months ago
depends if it is released under the "iPhone" umbrella. Macbook Pro and Macbook Air are different lineups, if it's iPhone Fold then consider that a win, but if it's the next iPhone Pro, then consider that a loss.
- Acrobatic-Lentil · 7 months ago
Apple isn’t going to spend 17 years building the most valuable phone brand on earth just to release a foldable and say ‘actually this isn’t an iPhone anymore.’ If it folds, it’s almost certainly still an iPhone. A new hinge doesn’t suddenly create a new product category.
- Violet-Duffel · 7 months ago
yup the answer is no, nothing new coming out this year, this is free money
- KrakenTrader · 7 months ago
A HomePod with a display is not a new product category — it’s still a HomePod iteration. The market requires a genuinely new product line Apple has never sold before. Most credible reporting points to robots, AI wearables, or other truly new hardware targeting 2027, not 2026. A display upgrade doesn’t qualify, and the real “new category” products are likely beyond the deadline. At current pricing, this looks materially overvalued.
- JohnJohnson67 · 7 months ago
If the “iFold” is marketed as something other than a phone, it would be a new line. If it has a tablet face, it would obviously be a new product like. If you’re making your financial decisions based on this false assumption- I’d cut your losses now. You’re not correct.
- micemeat67 · 7 months ago
Home security hardware.
- Trivial-State · 7 months ago
Fully agree, I buy NO shares on prediction at 80%, and I absolutely don’t know what people await. Maybe Apple Car, or iVacuumCleaner Pro Max with M5 Ultra and apple intelligence😂.
- molodoyy · 7 months ago
dont tell them alpha, they are doomed
- F161803398 · 7 months ago
Let's actually read the market conditions properly. The key phrase here is "a category of products Apple has not previously sold" - not just a new product. A budget MacBook is a laptop. Apple has been selling laptops since 2006. On Apple's website, it will be in the exact same Mac/MacBook category that already exists. It's just a cheaper version of an existing product, the same way iPhone SE isn't a new product line but just a budget iPhone. A new HomePod with improvements, additional speakers, or a screen and etc is still the same smart speaker/hub. Apple has been selling HomePod for years now. Adding a screen doesn't create a new product line, it's an update to the existing HomePod line. By that logic, would every new iPhone with a better camera or an extra lens also be a new product line? By your logic, would a MacBook Pro with M5 Pro chip also count as a new product line? That's absurd. The conditions clearly state: robot, gaming console - these are examples of new product lines. These are products that Apple has never made before. And a foldable iPhone is even more obviously still just an iPhone. Changing the form factor doesn't create a new product line. Read the conditions correctly. A new product line is not the same as a new model within an existing product line!
- psionicstorm · 7 months ago
A budget macbook would be a new product line, it caters to a different demographic. Also, the homepod is supposed to be released this year based on reliable sources.
- KrakenTrader · 7 months ago
Feels like this is being priced on hype rather than the actual rules. A foldable iPhone is still an iPhone — that doesn’t qualify as a new product line here. The market requires a brand-new category, announced (and effectively launched) before end of 2026. Apple doesn’t introduce entirely new categories casually. 50%+ odds seems rich given the bar is much higher than people think.
- JohnJohnson67 · 8 months ago
Not if they sell it as an “IFold” or something
- JohnJohnson67 · 8 months ago
it probably would count as a new product line, consider selling if that’s how you think it works
- JohnJohnson67 · 8 months ago
Too ambiguous. Does the “iFold” count? Or is that an iteration of the phone?
- iutwpfal · 8 months ago
blowback
As of Sep 30, 07:35 PM UTC