Will Ink launch a token by ___: September 30, 2027
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ink officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ink will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ink ( https://x.com/inkonchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ink launch a token by ___: December 31, 2026 | Limitless | 72% No | Open |
| Will Ink launch a token by ___: June 30, 2027 | Limitless | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Ink launch a token by ___: September 30, 2026 | Limitless | 99% No | Open |
| Will Ink launch a token by ___: March 31, 2027 | Limitless | 50% No | Open |
| Will Ink launch a token by ___: December 31, 2027 | Limitless | 55% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 hours agoBest bid 60% · best ask 65%
Top holders
- 0x541564176c8d14980b2fDaa39871F471689bE277Yes$92.4
- 0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258Yes$84
- 0x3688c13F3914886C563a70257418ab9A299dea03Yes$83.3
- 0xa7509D8bC669504438C0c46008922B199aFf4129No$32.6
- 0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258No$16
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —84%$42last month
- —84%$42last month
- —14%$7last month
- —14%$7last month
- —20%$22 months ago
- —20%$202 months ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 10:46 PM UTC