Presidential Election Winner 2028: JD Vance

No79%
Yes21%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesNov 8, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.
  • Limitlessthis market

    Presidential Election Winner 2028: JD Vance

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    9 holders · read Sep 30, 10:28 AM UTC

  • OpinionOpen →

    Presidential Election Winner 2028 — JD Vance

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    read Sep 30, 11:03 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Gavin NewsomLimitless92% NoOpen
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Marco RubioLimitless91% NoOpen
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Josh ShapiroLimitless97% NoOpen
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Alexandria Ocasio-CortezLimitless87% NoOpen
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Kamala HarrisLimitless96% NoOpen
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Donald TrumpLimitless99% NoOpen
Presidential Election Winner 2028: OtherLimitless50% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders9
Held value$2.6K
Trades (24h)—
Trades16
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 20% · best ask 22%

Top holders

  • 0xbC77d54174bdd32bd2613486c344C60De68EDD1ENo$1.9K
  • 0x55223D44e1110EC0a53833846fA3229Cb9816337Yes$554.8
  • 0xbC77d54174bdd32bd2613486c344C60De68EDD1EYes$62.3
  • 0xabb34a683266aeC1CAf26c30026a8D510110fd0CNo$18.6
  • 0x4AFCaD1cA0d117945BA7B10114419d25091ad62AYes$12.9

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —25%$0.421 days ago
  • —75%$9.621 days ago
  • —77%$1021 days ago
  • —24%$0.4last month
  • —80%$59.83 months ago
  • —17%$4254 months ago

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As of Sep 30, 11:10 AM UTC