Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election: Republican
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election: Democratic | Limitless | 65% Yes | Open |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election: Other | Limitless | 50% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 5 hours agoBest bid 33% · best ask 36%
Top holders
- 0x55223D44e1110EC0a53833846fA3229Cb9816337No$17.3
- 0x4AFCaD1cA0d117945BA7B10114419d25091ad62AYes$9.7
- 0x2eeF6a6baC8254454485D6F8917478eF7653c38BNo$1.1
- wallet-cmmf8v4tYes$1
- 0x0DFB682a08aaA6B7E9Ac097bbd7a516BC362cC67Yes$0.7
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —39%$14 months ago
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- —54%$18 months ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 1, 02:59 AM UTC