Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Venue activity
Read from the venue 6 hours agoBest bid 6% · best ask 8%
Top holders
- 0x5D1C4EC2B34229b5f64CE9c33f6c293D062Cc606No$120.7
- 0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258No$103.3
- 0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258Yes$9
- 0xEB410f70A0457bBC5D88d55B2E59FA51AF500Fd6Yes$7.4
- 0xC024FbF1d7431C962e4Fa82589af6B6723C14De1No$1.9
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- —7%$7.6last month
- —90%$114.72 months ago
- —16%$0.72 months ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 30, 11:14 PM UTC