LimitlessOpen

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026: $9.000+

Yes52%
No48%

Price checked at

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 23Sep 30Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed ( https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112 ). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026: $10.000+Limitless89% NoOpen
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026: $8.000+Limitless50% NoOpen
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026: $7.000+Limitless50% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders9
Held value$453.8
Trades (24h)—
Trades57
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 5% · best ask 100%

Top holders

  • 0x9fE1C76FF778A7734d03A6c4C0fBe771f738c58ANo$262.8
  • 0x7b850Cf41910A9b9De98BA14AF87247405BB87a0No$51.5
  • 0xdb00A05F10591356ad872CCC5Cfd553199c2b258No$40.3
  • 0xe7872B12de5bC9aB6afd9F7294f935d7dD69CCE9No$30.4
  • 0x587b3F37f6d7d8B720326433468Fa469094819e9Yes$23.5

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —12%$0last month
  • —12%$0.6last month
  • —18%$1last month
  • —80%$72 months ago
  • —79%$6.72 months ago
  • —78%$6.42 months ago

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As of Sep 30, 10:56 PM UTC