Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Polymarket | 98% Yes | Open |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 7 days agoBest bid 100% · best ask 100%
Top holders
- 0xa5ef39c3d3e10d0b270233af41cac69796b1296625845028258673189297779821426253639334774340611387584254413293228104042628959
- Trading4Fridge71621515493005505804032019343479076717370660677358537595954402101965328206829
- 1112271621515493005505804032019343479076717370660677358537595954402101965328206829
- jeds71621515493005505804032019343479076717370660677358537595954402101965328206829
- Flaky-Ring71621515493005505804032019343479076717370660677358537595954402101965328206829
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY100%$404.27 days ago
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- BUY100%$499.57 days ago
- BUY100%$507 days ago
Discussion on Predxy
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55 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Fridius · 3 months ago
Fees everywhere.
- BTCisaHarshMistress · 3 months ago
This bond matures in 2 months
- lox-frogs · 5 months ago
Fees on this market? ffs. it was fun PM
- Stylish-Mall · 5 months ago
damn bro, you got it all
- Stylish-Mall · 5 months ago
you good bro?
- PNWEarth · 7 months ago
Nope
- ProulxS · 7 months ago
Once someone aquire Warner Bros. Discovery's studios AND streaming businesses. If not it will resolve on july 1st 2027.
- NixNov007 · 7 months ago
Why is it still at 80c? What did I miss
- Silviu3 · 7 months ago
dasda
- Silviu3 · 7 months ago
aaa
- Shady-Billing · 7 months ago
What’s the resolution date for this market?
- TRDclass · 7 months ago
ooooohhh good thing i just bet a dollar
- artefakt · 7 months ago
broski its june 30 2027, not 2026
- Bestodd · 7 months ago
Paramount officially acquires Warner Bros for $110,000,000,000
- TRDclass · 7 months ago
i dont think paramount will end up with warner before june 30 still gg everyone who say yes to netflix
- thisdudetrades · 7 months ago
wow, what were you cooking
- AureliaPersephone · 7 months ago
good time
- Colclough · 7 months ago
He’s already teasing “big media moves” on X, Tesla cash pile + Starlink synergies make it feasible
- Agathocles · 7 months ago
Good time everyone, thanks for playing
- UnlicensedShoota · 7 months ago
netflix just pulled out
As of Sep 30, 06:15 AM UTC