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PolymarketOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No80%
Yes20%

Price checked at

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24h volume$95
7d volume$2.8K
30d volume$18.4K
Liquidity$1.8K
Spread2%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical; Polymarket specifies a settlement timestamp immediately after the deadline, while the others do not publish one. All cite Abstract information supplemented by credible reporting as the source of truth.
  • OpinionOpen →

    Will Abstract launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 30, 12:01 AM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    340 holders · 41 comments · read Sep 27, 03:00 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:13:39.65930487Z

    read Sep 29, 07:49 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026Polymarket99% NoOpen
Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?Polymarket58% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders340
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments41

Best bid 14% · best ask 18%

Top holders

  • user3910098646985707839121837958202212263078387820716702786874164268337295747851893706
  • Scratchy-Year105292534464588119413823901919588224897612305776681795693919323419047416388812
  • Lively-Award105292534464588119413823901919588224897612305776681795693919323419047416388812
  • onlinelink105292534464588119413823901919588224897612305776681795693919323419047416388812
  • cookiana105292534464588119413823901919588224897612305776681795693919323419047416388812

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • SELL85%$93.54 days ago
  • SELL13%$6.54 days ago
  • BUY87%$130.94 days ago
  • SELL17%$8.54 days ago
  • BUY81%$858.84 days ago
  • BUY83%$49.84 days ago

Discussion on Predxy

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41 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • maxops1 · last month

    abstract is soooooo cooked. honestly, since I saw those mods (abschud) and those scammers (aob) getting preferential treatment, I knew it was cooked.

  • maxops1 · last month

    Lmao all the people chasing Abstract XP for a potential airdrop that will never come 🤣 It makes me laugh how they are getting extracted and still continue to believe Abstract will TGE while all projects are leaving for ETH lmao

  • CapyOnChain · 2 months ago

    wheres your respect?

  • Demoin · 3 months ago

    fuck abs

  • Scarce-Anteater · 4 months ago

    ulabokz ddd

  • bobfear777 · 10 months ago

    Perform a miracle and come out at the end of 2025

  • TomasKraun · 10 months ago

    They are not shy and say that it will be at the end of 2026 or in 2027

  • 888eth · 10 months ago

    They said at the end of 2026

  • TAMALIE · 10 months ago

    ok

  • Specific-Acorn · 10 months ago

    thanks g

  • Specific-Acorn · 10 months ago

    someone said a better site earlier

  • Shameful-Information · 10 months ago

    which one yall migrated to

  • Weepy-Reality · 10 months ago

    fuck these kalergi-plan rats

  • Potable-Jicama · 10 months ago

    great replacement written in their own books

  • Only-Catcher · 10 months ago

    thanks

  • Only-Catcher · 10 months ago

    does anyone have a new dashboard pls

  • Bountiful-Shingle · 10 months ago

    tyyyy

  • Bountiful-Shingle · 10 months ago

    what’s the one y’all use cuz this one is scamming

  • Baggy-Officer · 10 months ago

    tysm

  • Baggy-Officer · 10 months ago

    drop the og site cuz this one is highway robbery

As of Sep 30, 12:09 AM UTC